Key Points of the Fed Meeting - Vote to Reveal Divisions, Powell May Raise the Cut Threshold

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/12/10 18:45:54

BlockBeats News, December 11th, key points of the Federal Reserve meeting are as follows:

Policy Statement

1. Barclays Bank: It is expected that the statement will adopt a hawkish tone, implying a pause in rate cuts in January next year.

2. JPMorgan: The statement wording may be adjusted to "focus on the magnitude and timing of further adjustments," which would be a subtle change hinting at a reduced likelihood of rate cuts in subsequent meetings.

3. Wells Fargo: It is expected that the statement will signal a further raising of the threshold for rate cuts and imply that "keeping rates unchanged" is the current assumption of a majority of committee members.

Voting Dissent

1. BNY Mellon: The dot plot is likely to confirm recent internal FOMC divergences in policy stance, with expectations of significant divergence among members on the 2026 policy direction.

2. JPMorgan: It is expected that this meeting will see at least two votes against rate cuts, advocating for a hold stance, and one vote calling for a larger rate cut. The dot plot is expected to show two more rate cuts over the next two years.

3. FP Markets: This meeting may see dissenters holding a hawkish stance, such as Schmieding, Guha, Mullahy, and Powell. If rates are cut this week, it is expected that there will be another cut next year.

Powell's Statement

1. Bank of America: Powell may avoid giving a clear hawkish guidance, and communication strategy may revolve around real rates or data dependency.

2. Danske Bank: It is expected that Powell will continue the attitude from the October meeting, clearly expressing opposition to market expectations of continued rate cuts.

3. Deutsche Bank: Powell is expected to emphasize that the threshold for further rate cuts in early 2026 is high, signaling a temporary pause in rate cuts.

4. Former Fed Vice Chair Blinder: It is expected that Powell will articulate the rate cut in a similar way to the last press conference, warning the market not to assume that the Fed will continue to cut rates.

5. Morgan Stanley: It is expected that Powell will suggest that the phase of monetary policy adjustment has ended, and any future actions will be based on incremental meeting assessments and the latest data.

Others

1. Bank of America: The Fed is expected to announce starting in January, the purchase of Treasury securities with maturities of one year or less at a pace of $45 billion per month as part of "reserve management operations."

2. Wells Fargo: It is expected that no decision will be made on "reserve management operations" at this meeting, but the inclination is to announce the launch of the plan at the March meeting. (FX678)

Te puede gustar

Mercados de Predicción Cripto: Crypto.com y la Expansión de Coinbase en el Horizonte

Key Takeaways Los mercados de predicción se están convirtiendo en una parte integral del sector cripto, atrayendo la…

Crypto Biz: Las apuestas en mercados de predicción criptográfica

Key Takeaways Crypto.com y Coinbase avanzan en el mercado de predicciones: Ambas plataformas están explorando maneras de integrar…

Crypto Biz: Intercambios Apuestan en Mercados de Predicción

Puntos Clave Los mercados de predicción se están integrando al criptomercado, con importantes intercambios como Crypto.com y Coinbase…

Former SEC Counsel Explains How to Make Real-World Assets Compliant

Key Takeaways The SEC’s evolving stance on cryptocurrencies is increasingly supporting the growth of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs),…

JPMorgan Explora el Comercio de Criptomonedas para Clientes Institucionales: Informe

Puntos Clave JPMorgan Chase está considerando expandir sus servicios de activos digitales al ofrecer comercio de criptomonedas a…

Palmer Luckey’s Erebor alcanza una valoración de $4.35B mientras se avanza en la carta bancaria

Key Takeaways Erebor, respaldado por el empresario tecnológico Palmer Luckey, obtiene una valoración de $4.35 mil millones tras…

JPMorgan considers cryptocurrency trading for institutional clients: Changes loom in traditional banking

Key Takeaways: JPMorgan Chase is exploring cryptocurrency trading services for institutional clients, indicating a substantial pivot towards digital…

Llamar para unirse a AI Wars: WEEX Alpha Awakens — Competencia Global de Trading de IA con un fondo de premios de $880,000

Ahora, pedimos a los traders de IA de todo el mundo que se unan a las Guerras de IA: WEEX Alpha Awakens, una competencia global de comercio de IA con un premio acumulado de $880,000.

El fondo soberano de Noruega respalda el plan de Metaplanet para Bitcoin antes de la votación del EGM

Puntos clave: Norges Bank, que posee un 0.3% de Metaplanet, ha apoyado la estrategia centrada en bitcoin de…

Las Acciones de Hut 8 Aumentan un 20% tras el Acuerdo de Centro de Datos con Fluidstack

Key Takeaways Hut 8 refuerza su incursión en infraestructuras de IA con un importante contrato de alquiler de…

Semana del Banco Central y volatilidad del criptomercado: Cómo las decisiones sobre tasas de interés moldean las condiciones de trading en WEEX

Las decisiones sobre tipos de interés adoptadas por los principales bancos centrales, como la Reserva Federal, son acontecimientos macroeconómicos significativos que afectan a los mercados financieros mundiales e influyen directamente en las expectativas de liquidez de los mercados y en el apetito por el riesgo. A medida que el mercado de criptomonedas continúa desarrollándose y su estructura comercial y sus participantes maduran, el mercado de criptomonedas se está incorporando gradualmente al sistema de precios macroeconómicos.

Cómo los mercados de predicciones aumentan el riesgo de uso de información privilegiada y los riesgos crediticios

Key Takeaways Los mercados de predicciones como Kalshi y Polymarket están creciendo rápidamente, generando preocupaciones éticas y de…

I’m sorry for the inconvenience, but it seems that…

I’m sorry for the inconvenience, but it seems that the content of the original article was too short…

Argentina’s Central Bank to Permit Crypto Services: A New Crypto Era by 2026

Key Takeaways: Argentina’s Central Bank plans to lift bans on cryptocurrency services in banks by April 2026. Argentine…

USDT Recognized as Fiat-Referenced Token: A New Chapter for Stablecoins in Abu Dhabi

Key Takeaways: Tether’s USDT has been recognized as an “accepted fiat-referenced token” in Abu Dhabi, allowing regulated institutions…

JPMorgan’s Approach to Debanking and Political Neutrality

Key Takeaways JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has denied allegations of debanking based on political or religious affiliations, emphasizing…

Riesgos de las Criptomonedas en Bancos de EE.UU. Según Fitch Ratings

Key Takeaways Fitch Ratings ha advertido que podría revisar negativamente a los bancos de EE.UU. con alta exposición…

Previsión Económica: La Controversial Decisión de la Reserva Federal y el Debate sobre Política Monetaria

Key Takeaways La próxima reunión del FOMC será crucial, con una alta probabilidad de una reducción de tasa…