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Analyst: Bitcoin MVRV Falls Below 365-Day Moving Average, Signaling Potential Entry into a 'Periodic Bottom Phase'
BlockBeats News, October 22, CryptoQuant analyst ShayanMarkets stated that the Bitcoin market value to realized value ratio (MVRV) recently fell below its 365-day moving average, a signal that has historically appeared multiple times before the market forms a cyclical bottom.
The analyst pointed out that the current MVRV ratio is around 1.9, slightly below its 365-day simple moving average (SMA). Looking at historical data, each time MVRV fell below the 365-day SMA, the Bitcoin price saw a significant rebound: a 135% increase in mid-2021, a 100% increase in June 2022, and a 196% increase in early 2024.
ShayanMarkets believes that this pattern indicates that Bitcoin may once again enter the undervalued range, where long-term holders typically begin to accumulate again. If history repeats itself, the Bitcoin price is expected to reach the range of $115,000 to $190,000 towards the end of the bull market.
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Analysis: Focus on the $99,000 historical price equilibrium line, which has not been able to rise above after previous bull/bear conversions.
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