Recession Panic Triggers "Black Monday": Stocks and Crypto Plummet, Did Hayes's Prediction Come True?

By: blockbeats|2025/03/11 03:15:03
Compartir
copy
Original Title: "Recession Panic Triggers 'Black Monday': Stocks and Coins Plunge, Hayes' Prediction Comes True?"
Original Author: Mary Liu, via BitpushNews

The bubble of "Buying Stocks and Relaxing" seems to be bursting.

Amid negative sentiments such as growing concerns about a U.S. economic recession, the U.S. stock market experienced a 'Black Monday' with the Dow falling 2% at the close of the day, the S&P 500 dropping 2.7%, and the Nasdaq plummeting 4%. Tesla (TSLA.O) crashed 15.4%, Apple (AAPL.O) fell nearly 5%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) dropped 5%.

In the crypto market, BTC fell below the $80,000 mark for the second time in three weeks, reaching a low of $77,400 in the past 24 hours, while ETH revisited around $1800, and the total crypto market cap dropped by nearly 4%.

Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX and a well-known figure in the crypto space, seems to be witnessing his earlier prediction coming true. He had forecasted that Bitcoin might drop to $75,000, and as market sentiment worsens, this prediction is becoming increasingly credible.

Recession Panic Triggers

In his latest tweet, Hayes reiterated that Bitcoin might further decline to $75,000 and warned, "If it enters this range, the market will experience severe volatility." He pointed out that the open interest near $75,000 has raised a 'red flag,' indicating an extremely pessimistic market sentiment.

Trump's Few Words Upend the Market, U.S. Economy Shadowed by Recession

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated in an interview with CNBC on Friday that as the new administration reduces government spending, the U.S. economy may go through a "detox period."

In a Fox News interview aired on Sunday, Trump also responded to the possibility of an economic recession, stating that the economy is in a "transition period."

Trump said: "I have to build a strong nation; you can't just focus on the stock market."

Goldman Sachs has significantly lowered its economic growth forecast recently due to the potential impact of tariffs, further intensifying the market's pessimism about the U.S. economic outlook. New York Fed data shows that the February one-year inflation expectation is at 3.13%, and the expectation for the financial situation to worsen over the next year is the strongest since November 2023.

CFRA Research Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall told CNBC: "We are in the midst of a man-made adjustment. I call it a man-made adjustment because it is really in response to the new government tariff plan or at least the tariff threat, and what impact that will have on the economy."

Institutional analysis suggests that if the economic recession fears triggered by the trade war materialize, the Federal Reserve may begin a series of rapid rate cuts in June. The futures market has bet on rate cuts of 25 basis points in June, July, and October.

SGH Macro Advisors Chief U.S. Economist Tim Duy warned that if there is a labor or financial market slump, the Fed will face a dual risk: to deal with inflation and withstand Trump's pressure for rate cuts. However, whether rate cuts can save market confidence remains unknown.

Analyst: Bitcoin Needs to Experience a "Mini Recession" Before Rebounding

Institutional investors are exiting the crypto market, with crypto investment products seeing net outflows for the fourth consecutive week. According to CoinShares' data, crypto funds saw $867 million in outflows last week, totaling $4.75 billion over four weeks. Most of the bearish sentiment is coming from the U.S., with U.S. investors withdrawing $922 million last week.

NFT marketplace Mintology CEO Zach Burks stated that due to inflation concerns and Bitcoin's waning appeal as a "Trump trade," Bitcoin could drop to $72,000. He noted: "Many investors are pulling out of Bitcoin, viewing it as a high-risk asset for the first time since Trump took office."

Burks believes that Bitcoin has failed to decouple from the U.S. stock market, losing its function as a store of value tool. Instead, investors are turning to traditional safe-haven assets like gold. He predicts that although Bitcoin may rebound to $110,000 this year, the market must first weather this "mini recession" caused by Trump's policies.

EY Economist Gregory Daco told CNN that the uncertainty and chaos of Trump's policies are not helping the overall economic situation. He said: "The current situation is one of policy ambiguity, policy intent ambiguity, and policy objective ambiguity, all of which combined make investors anxious because where the policy is ultimately going is still unclear."

So, in this environment, Don't Fight it, Float with It. In the face of the storm, true wisdom may not be to fight against the current but to choose to drift with it safely, building strength before the storm hits.

Original Article Link

También te puede interesar

WEEXPERIENCE Whales Night: AI Trading, Crypto Community & Crypto Market Insights

El 12 de diciembre de 2025, WEEX organizó WEEXPERIENCE Whales Night, un encuentro comunitario offline diseñado para reunir a los miembros de la comunidad criptomoneda local. El evento combinó el intercambio de contenido, juegos interactivos y presentaciones de proyectos para crear una experiencia offline relajada pero atractiva.

AI Trading Risk in Cryptocurrency: Why Better Crypto Trading Strategies Can Create Bigger Losses?

El riesgo en long no reside principalmente en una mala toma de decisiones o errores emocionales. Cada vez más en tiempo real en la estructura del mercado, las vías de ejecución y el comportamiento colectivo. Comprender este cambio es más importante que encontrar la próxima estrategia “mejor”.

AI Agents Are Replacing Crypto Research? How Autonomous AI Is Reshaping Crypto Trading

La IA está pasando de asistir trades a automatizar todo el proceso de investigación a ejecución en mercados de criptomonedas. La ventaja cambió de la perspectiva humana a los sistemas de flujos de datos, velocidad y listos para la ejecución, lo que hace que los retrasos en la integración de la IA sean una desventaja competitiva.

AI Trading Bots and Copy Trading: How Synchronized Strategies Reshape Crypto Market Volatility

Los trades minoristas de criptomonedas han enfrentado en long los mismos desafíos: mala gestión de riesgos, entradas tardías, decisiones emocionales y ejecución inconsistente. Las herramientas de tradear de IA prometían una solución. Hoy en día, los sistemas de copy trading potenciados por IA y bots de ruptura ayudan a los trades a dimensionar posiciones, establecer stops y actuar más rápido que nunca. Más allá de velocidad y precisión, estas herramientas están remodelando los mercados silenciosamente: los trades no solo tradean más inteligentemente, sino que se mueven en sincronización, creando una nueva dinámica que amplifica bot riesgo como oportunidad.

AI Trading in Crypto Explained: How Autonomous Trading Is Reshaping Crypto Markets and Crypto Exchanges

AI tradeando está transformando rápidamente el panorama cripto. Las estrategias tradicionales luchan por mantenerse al día con la volatilidad continua de las criptomonedas y su compleja estructura de mercado, mientras que la IA puede procesar datos masivos, generar estrategias adaptativas, gestionar el riesgo y ejecutar trades de forma autónoma. Este artículo guía a los usuarios de WEEX a través de qué es el AI tradear, por qué las criptomonedas acelerar su adopción, cómo evoluciona el sector hacia los agentes autónomos y por qué WEEX está construyendo el ecosistema de tradear de IA de la próxima generación.

Call to Join AI Wars: WEEX Alpha Awakens — Global AI Trading Competition with $880,000 Prize Pool

Ahora, pedimos que trades de IA de todo el mundo se unan a las Guerras de IA: Alpha Awakens de WEEX, una Competencia de trading global de IA con un pool de premios de $880.000.

Monedas populares

Últimas noticias sobre criptomonedas

Leer más