Vitalik's "Quantum Computing to Break Encryption by 2028" Warning Triggers Intense Community Debate, Research Progress Is Key

BlockBeats News, November 20th, Vitalik Buterin issued a warning yesterday at the Devconnect conference, stating that quantum computing may break Elliptic Curve Cryptography before the 2028 U.S. presidential election.

This statement has sparked intense debate in the community: Crypto KOL Charles Edwards stated that mainstream experts are already assessing the risk of a quantum impact on Bitcoin in advance. Vitalik's three-year prediction also confirms this. The crypto industry can no longer ignore this risk. Physics expert David M. Antonelli expressed a contrary view, stating that even the most optimistic predictions (IBM, Google, Quantinuum) expect only a few thousand physical quantum bits by 2030, rather than millions of logical qubits.

In addition, Tom Lee also shared reports related to Vitalik's warning about the "quantum computing threat to cryptographic algorithms."

Although there is debate about whether the quantum computing threat to the crypto industry can materialize by 2028, the community generally believes that based on the current pace of research progress, quantum computing will indeed threaten cryptographic algorithms in the foreseeable future.