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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.4%
By: rootdata|2026/03/04 06:43:30
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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 97.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.6%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 14.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 85.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 37.1%.
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