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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 95.5%
According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 4.5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95.5%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 17.7%, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged is 81.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.7%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 41.5%.
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