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分析师：特朗普法案将支持股市 看好周期性行业
By: odaily.com|2025/07/04 05:05:52
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Odaily星球日报讯 Cetera 投资管理公司首席投资官 Gene Goldman 对“大而美”法案获通过表示：法案为企业和家庭提供了明确的福利，而这些福利往往会支持企业盈利和股票价格。我们将忽略国会预算办公室预计该法案将在未来十年内增加大约 3 至 3.4 万亿美元债务这一事实。（法案）可能需要更大的国债发行，这已经引发了债券市场的谨慎，债券收益率的上扬就是证明。此外，这些更高的赤字可能会推高通胀预期。从股票行业的角度来看，预计周期性行业将受益，特别是能源公司（取消绿色能源补贴），工业公司（基础设施支出增加），金融行业（不确定性减少、普遍放松管制，以及收益曲线陡峭化），以及消费品行业（税收降低）。
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