Polymarket predicts that the probability of FDV exceeding US$13 billion after the first day of WLFIs launch is 56%, and the return rate of a public offering may be as high as 867%

By: odaily.com|2025/07/07 04:01:24

Odaily News According to the monitoring of on-chain data analyst @ai_9684xtpa, Polymarket predicts that the probability of FDV exceeding US$13 billion after the first day of WLFIs launch is 56%.
In terms of institutional costs, a total of 5 institutions (Tron DAO / Web3Port / Oddiyana Ventures / DWF Labs / Aqua1 Fund) participated in the strategic round of financing, investing at least US$210 million; among the institutions with known costs, DWF Labss cost is twice that of Web3Port. In terms of public offering round costs, two rounds of public fundraising raised a total of US$550 million: the first round raised 300 million yuan at a cost of US$0.015, the lowest of the currently disclosed costs; the second round raised US$250 million, with the cost increased to US$0.05, which is the same as the book cost of Web3Port and much lower than the cost of DWF. If the FDV on the first day is really US$13 billion, the return rate of the first round of public offering will be as high as 867%, and the second round will also be 260%. In addition, there is another uncertain factor, which is the TGE unlocking ratio, which needs to wait for the transferable proposal to be passed before it can be further clarified.

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