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The probability of a 25 basis points interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 71.3%, reigniting speculation about a rate cut.
BlockBeats News, November 22, according to CME's "FedWatch Tool" data, the probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in December has risen to 71.3%. Following today's collective dovish remarks by multiple Fed officials, the betting on a December rate cut has heated up again, after the rate cut probability had once dropped below 30%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged in December is 8.2%.
The probability of the Fed holding rates steady until January 2026 is 19.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 57.1%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 23.7%.
The dates of the next two FOMC meetings are December 10 and January 28, 2026.
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