Tom Lee Predicts Core PCE Will Decrease by 100 Basis Points

Tom Lee posted on the X platform that the Federal Reserve does not need to make an immediate decision between two options and can choose to wait. Goldman Sachs expects that the supply shock driving the core PCE up is currently at 1.75 percentage points and will weaken by 100 basis points to 0.75 percentage points by early 2027. Without raising interest rates, the core PCE will decrease by 100 basis points. Lee pointed out that when the market prepares for negative news, it may rise after the event occurs.

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