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What is the secret behind XRP's surging price?

By: blockbeats|2024/12/04 07:45:01
Original Article Title: Behind the XRP Breakout: Drivers and Dynamics
Original Article Author: KoreanDegen, Crypto Kol
Original Article Translation: zhouzhou, BlockBeats


Editor's Note: The recent surge in XRP price has caught everyone's attention, resulting from a combination of multiple factors such as a technical breakout, renewed interest from Korean investors (along with the dismissal of the SEC lawsuit and the WisdomTree S-1 filing), and the absence of historical sell pressures from figures like Jed McCaleb. These factors together drove demand for XRP, leading to exceptional market performance.


Below is the original content (slightly reorganized for better readability):


The recent breakout of XRP has unveiled a complex interaction between technicals, market structure, and regional dynamics.


Market Background


On November 10, XRP surged above around $0.55, decisively breaking through the 100-week, 200-week, and 350-week moving averages.


Perpetual Contract CVD: Decreasing.


Open Interest Volume: Increasing.


Simultaneously, Upbit's rankings on the App Store and Play Store started rising. The intersection of these factors hinted at brewing market activity.



November 12: Inflection Point


Upbit claimed the top spot in the Play Store rankings, considering Korea's user demographic — primarily older investors aged 50 to 60, predominantly on Android devices with Samsung holding a dominant position — this signal was particularly significant.


With the surge in demand, XRP crossed the ₩1,000 Korean Won mark (around $0.71). Arbitrageurs swiftly adjusted the market imbalance, leading to a significant number of short positions being liquidated.


Supply Void


In previous cycles, Jed McCaleb's continuous selling constrained XRP's upward momentum. However, this time he no longer has more coins to sell.



Structural Breakthrough


Only the historical charts of Bitstamp and Upbit can be traced back to 2017, showing a six-year continuous diagonal breakthrough. Meanwhile, Upbit's overwhelming advantage in spot trading volume has become a symbol of South Korea's investment enthusiasm.



Characteristics of the Demand Group


According to a recent report by the "Hankyung News," the role of older South Korean investors in the crypto market is becoming increasingly prominent:


Since 2021, the number of crypto accounts held by individuals aged 60 and above has increased by 30% (+188,000 new accounts).


The group of individuals aged 50 and above has seen a 22.5% increase in accounts (+356,000 accounts).


By September 2024, individuals aged 60 and above collectively hold $4.8 billion in crypto assets.


This demographic shift indicates that older investors, particularly in South Korea, have played a key role in driving XRP demand.


Article Link: Hankyung Article


Broader Context


While South Korea's trading volume is a major factor, it is not the sole driving force. Other exchanges, such as Coinbase and Robinhood, have also contributed to XRP's surge. Currently, XRP's spot trading volume has exceeded $6.6 billion.




This is not just a regular uptrend. It is a convergence of the following factors:


1. Key Technological Breakthrough.

2. Retail Investors, especially Korean investors, regained interest (subsequently further fueled by SEC lawsuit dismissal and WisdomTree S-1 filing).

3. Major historical sell pressure sources like Jed McCaleb's supply absence.


When causality and multiple factors collide, the result is often extraordinary.


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