logo

Predicting a Market Crash in Advance? Warren Buffett's Credibility Is Still on the Rise

By: blockbeats|2025/03/12 08:15:02
分享
copy
Original Article Title: "Predicting a Market Crash in Advance? The Shine of Stock God Buffett Continues to Rise"
Original Article Author: Mary Liu, BitpushNews

“Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” This simple yet profound wisdom comes from the mouth of Warren Buffett, a 94-year-old billionaire investor.

This figure, known as the "Oracle of Omaha" market forecaster, once again demonstrated the value of this adage with his precise judgment—he seems to have foreseen long ago that Donald Trump's policies could bring a storm to Wall Street.

Yesterday, Wall Street experienced a "Black Monday," with a significant market downturn, confirming Buffett's "prediction." Investor concerns about an economic recession intensified, triggering panic selling in the market. The S&P 500 index plummeted more than 9% from its historical high on February 19, nearing a "correction" (defined as a drop of 10% or more from the previous high), with only Buffett's net worth rising against the trend among the Top 10 richest people.

Predicting a Market Crash in Advance? Warren Buffett's Credibility Is Still on the Rise

For Buffett, the market's plunge undoubtedly once again proved the foresight and correctness of his investment strategy.

Positioning Ahead of the "Trump Recession"

Berkshire Hathaway, under Buffett's leadership, has been steadily reducing its stock holdings in recent years, amounting to billions of dollars, and instead accumulating massive amounts of cash.

Data shows that Buffett has been selling more stocks than buying for nine consecutive quarters, including significantly reducing stakes in several well-known companies. As early as last year, even before the Trump administration took office, Buffett began selling off most of his Apple stock and reduced investments in Bank of America and Citigroup.

Over the past few months, Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves have soared to an astonishing $334 billion, accounting for more than one-third of its entire investment portfolio. Surprisingly, this cash reserve size exceeds the total market value of all companies listed on the UK's FTSE 100 index.

Buffett is a typical long-term investor who prefers to sit on the sidelines, patiently waiting for the best opportunity, rather than blindly chasing market hotspots and the latest trends.

Despite holding a huge amount of cash, Buffett explicitly denies the claim that he "prefers cash over stocks." In his February shareholder letter, he emphasized, "While some commentators continue to view Berkshire's enormous cash position as a mistake, you should be aware that your company's most important asset, by far, is its insurance operation, not its investment portfolio. We differ from some commentators in that view."

Panic Spreads as Buffett's Adage Once Again Rings True

Amidst market turbulence, it may be worthwhile to once again heed the advice of this investment legend.

In his 2017 letter to shareholders, he wrote, "In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine." However, he quickly added that if a significant decline were to occur, remember the following lines from Rudyard Kipling's classic poem, written around 1895:

"If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs . . . If you can wait and not be tired by waiting . . . If you can think – and not make thoughts your aim . . . If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you . . . Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it."

Why Does Keeping a Cool Head Pay Off?

It's worth noting that Buffett is referring to a major drop in the U.S. stock market, such as the bear market from 2007 to 2009, during which the S&P 500 index lost over 50% of its value. In comparison to that period, the current pullback experienced by investors is far from those tumultuous times.

In fact, market pullbacks are a normal part of the capital markets. Data from Bedell Frazier Investment Counselling shows that since 1980, the S&P 500 index has experienced 21 declines of 10% or more, with an average intra-year drop of 14%.

Indeed, during times of market turmoil, investors often find it challenging to predict the future accurately. Just as Buffett wrote in 2017:

"No one can tell you when these (plunges) will happen. The light can at any time go from green to red without any yellow light to cushion the transition."

Buffett firmly believes that periods of market distress present "extraordinary opportunities." Historical data has repeatedly shown that the market will eventually recover its upward trajectory. What value investors need to do is simply wait patiently and take full advantage of the market's downturn to "pick up" undervalued assets.

Data from Hartford Funds shows that since 1928, the average bear market in the U.S. has lasted less than 10 months — a bear market is defined as a decline of 20% or more from a recent high. For investors planning for investments spanning decades, the impact of a bear market is but a brief moment in the long river of investment.

Therefore, even in the midst of bear market panic and agony, always keep your eyes on the ultimate "prize" — your long-term financial goal that you are striving for. Continuing to invest during a market downturn is akin to actively buying during a stock discount sale. As long as you adhere to a diversified investment strategy, the deeper the stock prices fall, the better the "bargain" you will get.

Buffett's investment philosophy, echoed in a famous quote from his 2009 shareholder letter, emphasizes the importance of seizing investment opportunities when the market is depressed: "Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble."

Original Article Link

猜你喜歡

Trust Wallet 遭黑客攻擊最大損失達350萬美元

Key Takeaways 最大受害者損失了約350萬美元，該錢包已休眠一年。 第二大損失達140萬美元，該錢包已休眠兩年以上。 黑客共竊取超過600萬美元加密資產，其中超過400萬美元已轉移至CEX。 自托管錢包面臨基礎設施漏洞的潛在風險。 WEEX Crypto News, 26 December 2025 近期，Trust Wallet 發生了一起嚴重的黑客事件，此次事件引發了業界廣泛關注。在這起事件中，Trust Wallet的一個錢包損失了價值高達350萬美元的加密資產，該錢包在此次攻擊前已經休眠了一年多。此外，另一個損失較大的錢包也損失了約140萬美元，在攻擊發生前已經休眠超過兩年。 Trust Wallet…

项目方將40萬美元BDXN代幣注入多個交易所

Key Takeaways 三個BDXN項目方相關的錢包地址向多個交易所存入價值約40萬美元的BDXN代幣。 這些代幣於兩個月前從項目方的錢包轉出。 相關監測由onchainschool.pro 提供。 代幣轉移涉及的地址包括0xD5682dcA35D78c13b5103eB85c46cDCe28508dfB等。 WEEX Crypto News, 26 December 2025 BDXN項目方關聯錢包的最新動向 近期，BDXN項目方的部分地址將價值40萬美元的BDXN代幣注入多家交易所。據onchainschool.pro的監測顯示，與BDXN項目方相關的三個主要錢包在過去三小時內完成這一轉移操作，而這批代幣則早在兩個月前便從項目方錢包中轉出。 監測機構報告及相關地址詳情 這次轉移操作首次由onchainschool.pro監測到，並在ChainCatcher等多家媒體上披露。根據報告的數據，涉及到的三個錢包地址分別是：0xD5682dcA35D78c13b5103eB85c46cDCe28508dfB、0xD0Fc2894Dd2fe427a05980c2E3De8B7A89CB2672以及0xAc245a570A914C84300f24a07eb59425bbdC1B48。這些地址攜帶的代幣價值總計約40萬美元。 轉移代幣的未來意圖及市場影響…

# 龐貝與互聯網：Base 網絡上的 PancakeSwap V3 池中流動性獎勵啟動

Key Takeaways PancakeSwap 透過 Brevis Incentra 在 Base 網絡引入了 12 個 V3 池並開始提供流動性獎勵。 使用者可以在 Optimism 平台上通過 Incentra 添加流動性，不僅獲得交易費用，還能賺取…

代幣 VS 股權，Aave 爭議的來龍去脈

這是 Aave 要面對的問題，更是整個行業要面對的問題

12月26日市場關鍵情報，你錯過了多少？

1. 鏈上資金：本日有 7.8 百萬美元流入 Hyperliquid；5.5 百萬美元流出 Solana 2. 最大漲跌幅：$ISLM、$FTN 3. 熱門新聞：Trust Wallet 將確保所有受影響的用戶都能獲得退款，用戶需盡快完成程序升級

加密聖誕劫：損失超600萬美元，Trust Wallet 擴展錢包遭駭分析

Trust Wallet 瀏覽器擴充功能 2.68 版被發現存在惡意後門，導致用戶資金被盜，總損失超過 600 萬美元。

熱門幣種

最新加密貨幣要聞

02:16

白銀升至全球資產市值第3名，總市值4.485兆美元

根据 8Marketcap 数据，截至 12 月 28 日，白银的市值已经达到 4.485 万亿美元，排名全球资产市值第 3，仅比英伟达的市值 4.638 万亿美元低不到 4%。此外，比特币的市值目前位居全球资产市值第 8，为 1.751 万亿美元；以太坊的市值目前排名全球资产市值第 43，为 3550 亿美元。
02:16

Flow：The protocol fix has been successfully deployed, awaiting final "Network Go-Live" confirmation

BlockBeats 消息，12 月 28 日，Flow 官方发布了攻擊事件更新，協議修復方案已被網路驗證者接受並成功部署，網路已上線並正在產生區塊，但處於「空閒 / 僅供閱讀」模式，普通交易提交仍被暫停。在全面恢復運作之前，Flow 必須與關鍵生態系統合作夥伴（跨鏈橋、中心化交易平台和去中心化交易平台）進行強制同步，以確保其內部系統與 Flow 帳本的恢復狀態完全同步。基金會將在合作夥伴同步完成後立即發布最終的「網路上線」確認資訊。
01:46

加密市場盤整震盪，比特幣維持 8.8 萬美元區間，加密總市值 24 小時反彈 0.7%

BlockBeats 消息，12 月 28 日，据 HTX 行情信息，加密市场维持橫盤震盪，比特幣現報 87,785 美元，24 小時漲幅 0.4%，以太坊現報 2943 美元，24 小時漲幅 0.56%。加密貨幣總市值現報 3.058 兆美元，24 小時漲幅 0.7%。近 24 小時領漲的山寨代幣有：STORJ 現報 0.1508 美元，24 小時漲幅 31.3%；NTRN 現報 0.031 美元，24 小時漲幅 26.3%；GAS 現報 2.26 美元，24 小時漲幅 21.6%；ZEN 現報 9.136 美元，24 小時漲幅 16.05%；ZEC 現報 515 美元，24 小時漲幅 15...
01:16

「加密貨幣」一詞谷歌搜索量持續低迷，散戶投資者興趣下降

BlockBeats 消息，12 月 28 日，随着 2025 年接近尾聲，「加密貨幣」一詞的 Google 搜尋量持續低迷，全球「加密貨幣」搜尋量（範圍為 0-100）在週一觸及 26，僅比年內低點 24 高出兩點。散戶投資者對加密貨幣市場的興趣乏善可陳，與今年 1 月份的熱情形成鮮明對比。1 月因特朗普就職、加密政策預期利好以及市場熱情高漲，「加密貨幣」以及「如何購買加密貨幣」等相關查詢曾達到最高的 100 峰值，散戶興趣呈現爆發態勢。低搜尋量反映出散戶投資者對加密貨幣市場現狀情緒低落，仍在 1011 閃崩的餘波中掙扎。自 10 月份崩盤以來，市場情緒指數也一直在「恐懼」和「極度恐懼」之間...
01:16

某巨型鯨魚最近累計抛售40,621枚ETH，價值11.85億美元

BlockBeats 消息，12 月 28 日，据 Onchain Lens 监测，某通过循環借貸做多 ETH 的地址再度賣出 5,000 枚 ETH，價值約 1,470 萬美元。該巨鯨總共已賣出 40,621 枚 ETH，價值 11.85 億美元，售出均價為每枚 2,917 美元。
閱讀更多
社區
iconiconiconiconiconiconiconicon

客戶服務：@weikecs

商務合作：@weikecs

量化做市商合作：[email protected]

VIP服務：[email protected]